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Will the Wild War push the Indian markets?

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Will the Wild War push the Indian markets?


Getty Images US President Donald Trump, with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, February 13, 2025, with Modi in Whitania in Whitania in Washington DC.Getty pictures

PM Modi’s meeting with Trump in February, India cut tariffs in some US products

India usually appealed to economic reforms during the difficulty The most famous sample is 1991The country embraced liberalization in front of the deep financial crisis.

Now with US President Donald Trumps Tit-Tat Tariff Wars And the global trading trade, many believe that India found himself in another way.

Can this be the main opportunity for the fifth largest economy of the world and can it open its protection and economy? Will India catch this moment, as it is more than three years ago or withdrawn?

Trump has been repeatedly “a great operator” of India “Tariff king” and trade relations. The problem is that India Trade-based import duties – According to the imported product, the average duty rate is one of the world’s highest. The average US average tariff is 2.2%, China’s 3%, Japan is 1.7% of Japan. According to the World Trade Organization, India is 12% of India.

High tariffs increase costs for companies depending on global value chains that hinder the ability to compete in international markets. They also provide more money to the goods imported from Indians more imported from foreign consumers. Despite the growing export – first of all, it is controlled by services – India is a significant trade deficit. However, the problem with the share of India’s global exports is more relevant.

The jury will help the Trump’s tariff war decreases to India’s release or protection. Narendra Modi government, Often criticized for its protectionist position, In recent years, the gears changed.

Getty Images India PortGetty pictures

Despite growing exports, India is a significant trade deficit

Last month, Prime Minister Modi is ahead Meeting with Trump In Washington, one-sided in India, Bourbon Whiskey, motorcycles and other US products lowed tariffs.

Trade Minister Piyush Goyal has visited the United States to discuss the following potential trade deal Trump’s threatening tariffsTooming on April 2. (First of all, first of all, first of all, first of all, primarily, primarily, primarily, primarily, cars, cars and food products such as metal, chemical and jewelry primarily, first of all.)

Last week, the Goyal Indian exporters called “to encourage the protective mindset and encourage them to encourage courage and to make strength and self-confidence in the world,” a statement of the service.

India also implements free trading deals with UK and several countries, including several countries New Zealandand and and The European Union.

An interesting turn of the events, Homegrown Telecoms Giants Reliance Jio and Bharti Airtel, Trump Ally Elon Musk met with the gaps Launch Satellite Internet Services through Starlink In India. The action was especially surprised by the analysts Clashes of a musk clashes with both companiesAnd as US and Indian officials, he met with the trade agreement.

From the late 1990s, the rapid growth increased by 8.1% between 2000-2009 and between 8.1% in 2009-2014, especially in the major part of the global markets, software, software, autos, textile and clothing. India has turned in.

Many economists believe that the capital and technology-technology-intensive sectors have prioritized the capital and technology-technology-intensive sectors on labor-intensive people in the last decade. As a result, he struggled to increase production and export.

High tariffs have increased several Indian industrial protectionism, efficiency in subtle, New York University in Stern School, a professionalization of an economic professor in Stern School.

This, “comfortable workers”, strengthening their positions without competing their positions, allowed them to gain market power. First Central Banker, Mr. Acharya mentioned in A paper The Brookings Institution requires the restoration of the industry in India “to increase the country’s share of global goods and reduce the share of protectionism.”

With the tariffs of India, higher than large numbers of countries can cause more damage.

“We will not help us to increase exports and Tat-Tat Tat Tat Tat Tat Tat Tariff. Because we can’t take this strategy due to the mass export base, but because we have a small part of the global market,” Rajeswari Sengupta, Associate Professor of the Mumbai Development Research Institute. “Trade contradiction can hurt us more than others.”

Getty Pictures Workers, on January 6, 2025, Bengaluruda A Apple iPhone 16 walk in front of BillboardGetty pictures

High tariffs, Indians should pay more to goods imported than foreign consumers

In light of this, India finds its intersection. As the world goes through a basic turn, India has a “unique opportunity to create a new vision form” for global trade, Claremont McKenna College says ASEEEEMA Sinha at McKenna College.

It says that India is the author of India, the author of India’s new trade in South East Asia and the Southeast Asia and the Middle East, the author of the world, MS Sinha and globalized India.

“By reducing the tariffs, India can become a regional and regional magnet for trade and economic activity, orbit can be paintings in various forces.”

This can help India create a lot of work in the house. Agriculture, which accounts for 15% of GDP, is 40% of employment reflecting very low productivity. Construction, the absorption of casual daily employees, remains the second largest employer.

The problem of India is engaged in the large swimming pool of large-scale employees, not to expand the evolving service sector, which is about half of the total exports, but also the lack of basic skills needed.

“When high endings are developing, the majority of the workforce remains unemployed and unemployed, often provides meaningful employment in construction or unofficial workplaces, every year

Reuters Indian farmer upReuters

Agriculture, which only 15% of India’s GDP, is 40% of employment

One concern is that the reduction in tariffs is that foreign companies can result in cheap goods, potentially damage local areas.

According to Sengupta, India’s ideal approach to trade will cover “Universal Reduction” in import tariffs and the “universal reduction” among the highest tariffs among trade partners.

However, there is a warning: China’s commercial war can cause the United States trade warfare due to the ongoing trade war, “short run” in India.

“You can use India to protect from this Non-tariff barriers In the case against China, but in the cases of evidence of this country and only. He bans, is interested in making wholesale slashing from the tariffs of India, “he says.

There is also a concern that India can understand its efforts for the US flattery.

Ajay Srivastava (GTRI), the founder of the Global Trade Research Organization (GTRI), believes in global trade talks, “GTRI),” GRIs is more than economic pressure.

If this trend continues, it says India can further develop in trade transactions with the United States, “the power of transactions exceeded.”

“Compared to other major economies, the submission of pre-surrendering to many trading frontages in the numerous trading fronts of India – seems very sensitive to pressure tactics, without application of a special tariff.”

The wider consensus must write what the unexpected results of the Indian Tariff Wars can be. Prenjul Bhandari, an Indian economist in HSBC, could be potential US tariffs Catalyst for reforms.“.

“Supply chains are re-played during the second Trump presidential due to higher than large exporters, and new manufacturers can win the second chance in India,” he said.

It will not be easy to create work that produces goods for the world. India has mainly missed the bus in low-level, incompetent factory work – China’s prevailing work for decades. Automation is being done. India remains behind without deeper reforms.



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