Nathalia Garcia
Brasília, DF (Folhapress)
The financial market, the Central Bank’s COPOM (Central Bank Committee) is registered in 14.25% per year and 14.25% per year, the Dilma Rousseff government crisis (PT) was registered.
If the forecast is approved, the mucus will reach the highest level since October 2016. At that time, the main ratio was placed on 14.25% in late July 2015 and was kept stable within three months.
Financial markets are preparing for Superquarta – the Central Bank of Brazil and the United States decides to interest in relevant economies. The United States is expected to be maintained from 4.25% to 4.50% in 4.50% per year.
Although economic agents are unanimously, all 30 agencies consulted with all 30 agencies, the BC Board, the BC Board and the suspicions of the signal signal of the next action.
Some economists believe that the committee will notify the intention of slowing interest rates in the meeting, and others in the last extension of the period, escaped from work and “leave the door open.”
According to the median research center collected by the BC, analysts will close the size of the mucous year by 15%. The projection is at the same level for ten weeks. Since the last collegiate meeting in January, confidence has increased, the shock of the cocoon is affected by some signs of poor economic activity.
One of the doubted economists of the “IRELI leadership” is Sergio Goldenstein, former chief of the BC open market department and the former head of the General Strategy of the Warren Renna.
“Most likely, this (prescription) change (recipe) can repeat such communication, which is currently reducing the most suitable, hardened period (increase) development phase of development,” he says.
For Goldenstein, the BC is far from the target in this meeting, the expected increase in this meeting, the inflation projection, the target of the monetary body.
In the COPOM’s reference scenario, the approximate third quarter of 2026 – today offers to fulfill the 4% target today. The central target is a 1.5 percent tolerance interval for 3%, less or less.
In February, IPCA (National Consumer Price Index) accelerated by 5.06% in the collected 12 months. According to a continuous goal system, BC forecasts a new roof explosion in June.
Warren’s head strategist claims that BC Collegiate is interested in a 0.25 percentage paragraph with a lower interest rate.
“He (BC) has a degree of flexibility in March in March, in March.
Louis Fernando Figueiredo, the past and chairman of the Cive Investment Council, which eliminates this meeting, is also a “reasonable,” the next amendment shows that the next amendment is lowercase and the period does not increase.
According to him, the BC has an advantage to “give the tone of the upcoming things.” “You should not show something very strong but you should say that there are 100 BPs (percentage points) and now there will be another intensity.”
However, it does not rule out the possibility that it can move to any recipe and move more freely due to economic conjuncture.
“I was in the Central Bank, I always preferred to go more openly (next steps) because things change very quickly.
There are economic activity information between the points of uncertainty. GDP (gross domestic product) in 2024 in 2024, but in the fourth quarter, according to IBRA data (Institute of Brazilian Geographic and Statistics), the fourth quarter lost the rhythm.
Despite the signs of weakening, the Central Bank’s IBC-BR (economic banking index) has developed earlier this year. In fact, in January, in January, the month of January was the expectation of Reuters questionnaires, which points to 0.9% – 0.9% to 0.9%.
In parallel, the scenario is an uncertainty in the international environment, the President of the United States, the Commerce War applied by Donald Trump. There are doubts about the impact of the republican policy on the reaction of global inflation and Fed’s (federal reserve).
Mirella Hirakawa, Buysidebrazil’s Research Coordinator, this indicates that inflation expectations are still far from the target, the goal is to protect the target message.
However, he was undergoing $ 6 billion, US currency (18), US currency (18), US currency used by $ 5.70.
The economist also shows that Mukha is included in the final extension of the period that requires a thin regulation to test the necessary level for the approach to the target.
“This is a composition that can be fundamentally supported, depending on the leadership, depending on the more history (decision of economic data in the light of the evolution of economic data),” he says.
The market awaits a more conservative position to avoid a sharp deceleration in the next meetings. “We expect a difficult decision to be aware, but to open the door to open the door,” says Hirakawa, in May, it is included in the 0.75 percent point in the arm.
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