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Great says that the tariffs increase in spike inflation, stunt growth and decay risks

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Great says that the tariffs increase in spike inflation, stunt growth and decay risks


US President Donald Trump, the leadership on March 28, 2025, in 2025 in the White Office in the oval office in the oval office, Arps, slate, striking and flom with a transaction ceremony with a transaction ceremony.

Andrew Harnik | Getty pictures

This week, President Donald Trump’s last period of the decision of this week, Goldman Sachs, a white house to increase inflation and unemployment, and unemployment and unemployment awaits the aggressive duties of the White House.

Investment Bank, tariff rates, when the Trump announces mutual tariffs on Wednesday, 15 percent of the previous “Risk box” scenario will be thrown in the previous “Risk box” screenplay. However, Goldman said that the product and country exceptions will eventually reduce this increase 9 percentage points.

When new trade actions are applied, Goldman’s economic team, led by the head of the Global Investment Research, has a negative impact on Jean Hatzius.

In a note, the company said: “We believe that the risk in April 2 is more than many market participants.”

Inflation above the arm

Inflation, except for the company, food and energy prices, increasing by 3.5% in 2025, increasing above 2% and high levels of federal reserves.

This, in turn, will come with weak economic growth: the fourth quarter of 2024, the Q4 of 2025, and 0.5% in 2025 and 0.2% after 2025, to the forecast of 0.2%. In addition, the Wall Street firm sees that the unemployment has now reached 4.5%, increased by 0.3 percent points from the previous forecast.

Together, Goldman has now aware of the chances of 35% in the next 12 months.

With the forecast, low growth and high inflation, the stagnant economy is a growing chances of increasing economy. The last time the US stagflation saw that in the late 1970s and in the early 80s. The back, Paul Walkker led the Fed, which has chosen inflation in connection with the support of the Central Bank’s economic growth, increased fountain rates to the decline.

Three ratio cuts

Goldman’s economists do not see this this time. In fact, the Fed in the company expects the benchmark to reduce the degree three times this year, waiting for a quarter percentage point, previous projection from previous projection.

“We have drawn 2026 cuttings in 2026 in 2025, and now this year will leave 3.5% -3.75% of 3.5% to 33.75% in September.

Although the latest tariffs are still unknown, Wall Street Journal gave information on Sunday This Trump team pushes more to more aggressive accounts that can express more than 20% to US trading partners to the-The-The-The-The-The-Plaque.

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