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Economists increase inflation forecasts in the tariffs and tariffs

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Economists increase inflation forecasts in the tariffs and tariffs


Wall Street economists said that the United States can return to the pandemic levels after the announcement of large tariffs in the global trade partners this year and inflation.

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(Bloomberg) – Wall Street Economists said that inflation can return to the pandemic levels after the United States is declining this year and inflation in global trade partners.

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Nomura Securities International A.Ş. The main measure of the main measure of the main inflation will be expanded by 0.6% in 2025 and the main measure of the main measure of the importance of the importance of the importance of this and increased to 4.7%.

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Barclays PLC Economists have received a more pessimistic view of GDP – 0.1% contraction project – and a slightly optimistic view of inflation, a pen to the pen. They are also looking for unemployment to climb until the end of the year.

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President Donald Trump’s announcement of Tariff’s announcement was sent to a well-market market to increase the world’s financial markets for the continuous expansion of the world’s largest economy. Several large banks showed a large shot to grow and inflation, but if it has ensured a large kick to inflation and inflation, they did not want the measures to be tempersed in the coming days.

“Obviously, such a large regulation creates a risk for expanding. Our evaluation was not only inflation in 2026, and the UBS President Jonathan Pingle,” We would expect a negative GDP growth. “

Trump claims that the global trading system, the global trading system, for decades, for decades, for decades. Following the announcement, the US trade office said that each country’s tariffs are calculated on the size of the trade surpluses and the values ​​of the United States.

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Levies, if they stay in place, threaten to delete most of the improvements in reducing inflation in the last three years. The federal event focused on February – fell below 2.8% in February, except for food and energy in February, fell from 2.8% in February 2022.

“If one is now based on current policy, the main PCE forecasts for 2025 must be revised for 4-5%,” an economist in the 22V study at the end of Wednesday Peter Williams. “The average 3rd of the lower the morning was similar to the policy based on the relevant policy. It feels that the accuracy feels unnecessary and impossible. Now there will be a higher wave of core than core inflation.”

The route in the markets, despite the expected increase in inflation, they fled to bets on the rest of the year in connection with the rest of the year. Now, in each of the last five hearings of the next two-day policy meeting of the Central Bank of the United States, at the end of the last five hearings in each of the last five hearings, about 30% of the better chances of the better chances.

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What does Bloomberg says the economy …

“We increase our main core inflation forecast for the fourth quarter of 2025 and 2.8% are up to 4.8% and 4.5% pen, which will fall to the labor market of the cargo and the interests of the carms will fall into the labor market.”

– Anna Wong, the Chief Economist of the United States

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Economists were usually more cautious for the forecast for the outlook. Fed officials, “It will probably react first, but will react slowly, and really only in the UBS report,” he said only because of inflation risks.

“The increase in price levels is as large as it is not different from the offside of monetary policy, as it is not different from 2022,” when it is slow to increase the rates of the Central Bank

Fed President Jerome Powell will play on the Economic World Morning after broadcast the March report of the March of Labor Statistics.

– With the help of Jarrell Dillard and Alex Tanzi.

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