United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Photo: Flickr
Last week, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with Moroccan Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita. At the meeting, Rubio once again confirmed The obligation of “a mutually acceptable solution” negotiations for “mixed Western Sahara” using the frame expressed in the autonomy proposal.
The political situation in Western Sahara remains a lot of arguing. In the 2020, the United States was recognized as a dependent state or special sovereignty of Western Sahara. At the end of the first term, the status function was unexpectedly when the Trump management did not recognize the sovereignty of Morocco in Western Sahara’s integrity. However, the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic continues to protect diplomatic relations with other independent states, and the United Nations continues to accept Western Sahara’s non-self-control.
In layer Recognizing the sovereignty of Morocco on Western Saver, President Donald Trump was supported as “the only ground for a fair and sustainable settlement in the Western Saharan area.” If adopted, the proposal of autonomy will give an autonomous region to the people of the Sahawari in exchange for the recognition of the sovereignty of the moroccan. But it will not be an easy offer to implement. This Polisario frontThe National Freedom Movement for the People of the Saharavi is against autonomy proposal.
During the meeting with Bourita, Rubio was relocated to the Government of Morocco on behalf of the US government. To fulfill this obligation, the US government must now facilitate the settlement of the conflict to resolve the autonomy. Some Republican members of the Congress believe that the best way to achieve the conclusion is that the United States officially determines the US Police Front Foreign terrorist organization. Moving theorise Polisario front and would be with him Traditional state supporters (eg, Of course and South Africa).
Joe Wilson in the delegate on April 11 declared As a foreign terrorist organization, the polisario will apply legislation to appoint the front. Followed a Last meeting The US Secretary of Political Affairs is Sahara, Sahara, Lisa Kennan and Secretary General, is Staffan De Misturur. In his statement, Wilson, the polysario front “in the support room in Africa”, thus entered the claim provided by a platform to close the Polisario front.
As a foreign terrorist organization, any appointment of the Police front will have a serious impact for South Africa.
First, the Polisario in South Africa may have a substantial impact on the front and other Western Sahara groups to raise propaganda and funds.
A researcher in the Hudson Institute, a researcher Zineb Riboua, “Some actors – especially the main NGOs – (who) will take a step back to not be legalized.” However, there will be other actors to “continue to hide their support”, “with ideology or religious solidarity.”
If the South African government does not provide an “internal” application of a future destination, Riboua predicts the continuation of this second group of fringe actors, but they will face the risk of greater isolation, monitoring and serious financial risk. “
Second, the South African economy may have a negative impact.
According to Riboua, any destination can lead to an international investigation of the South African banking system. It justifies the assessment of this assessment of this assessment that indicates certain persons or NGOs in southwest of some people or NGOs in South Africa.
The growth of international inspection would be almost an undesirable development for South African banks.
Riboua, the increase in growing international research can lead to financial transactions with “global compatibility systems”, and this can be sanctioned by negative or secondary sanctions. “
Third, this may affect the application Target sanctions Appointment of (eg Magnitsky sanctions) and / or South Africa as a state sponsor of terrorism.
Riboua warns that South Africans will seriously accept the implementation of any appointment of the US government’s political front.
In the eyes, there is already risk As a state sponsor of the South African government, terrorist sponsor, including “Poor Terrorist Financing” and “FATF Financial Activities Force Force Force”, the South African government will not only if a foreign terrorist organization will not want to execute the future appointment of the Politoro front.
Since the abode of the United States, the risk of a complete tongue in the US-South African relations has risen to day. For this reason, as a foreign terrorist organization, the potential for the Polisario front offers another wrinkle in a tense relationship.
Michael Walsh is a non-resident head at the Institute of Foreign Policy Research. The opinions of which it seems to be.
