A small country in Guinea-Bissau, West Africa Independent since 1974 After ten-to-to-to-to-to-ayear war against the Portuguese colonial mode, passages a large political crisisThe growing voltage and uncertainty between the institutions was marked by the climate. President’s mandate Umaro Sissoco Embaló It was officially over February 27.
The package is not only The Milli Majlis has been resolved On December 4, 2023, he also announced his candidacy for his sequence. The package is considered l’opposition As an illegal president, the next presidential election announced that he would be held on November 30, 2025.
Already in a fragile context, Next Different Danger Meeting with various social actors, including opposition and civil society, a mission of the economic unity of the West African States (ECOWAS), which is trying to assess the country’s political situation, shows the growing isolation of power, including opposition and civil society.
These events reflect an unprecedented institutional confrontation on the democratic future of Guinea-Bissau and the risks of new tension.
I have been working on Guinea-Bissau from an interesting country since 1985 and this was my theme Doctoral dissertation and mes researchSince then. I explain the current political situation in this article.
The weakening of institutions
About 50 years after its independence, Guinea-Bisau is a state Can’t meet the expectations of the population Due to the fragility of government agencies, a political and economic elite is a political and economic elite from all to inability to provide basic services to their own interests and people. Over the past decades Army interventionOrdered by veterans, caused three coups. Country experienced an experience armed conflict In 1998-1999 he destroyed the goods and killed people. However, there is a civil society with great vitality and strength for innovations in the country. Defense of the state, sensitive groups, human rights, human rights, equality of rights, protection of protected areas, protection of protected areas, etc.
The situation created by the incoming president also seems to be inspired by the political behavior of the former Senegalese President Macky Sall, a former Senegal Sall, who created a whole policy to remain in power. Fewened institutions Democratic. Continues the trajectory of the concentration of the powers beginning by the previous President, João Mário Vaz On June 23, 2014, 2020 on February 23.
Especially mentioned sovereignty is part of the weakening of institutions Cancellation of the Milli Majlis Without programming the legislation in the periods established by the Constitution.
In addition, the President Assigns governments and cancel directlyAlthough the Supreme Court does not bring together the needed quorum to manage. In other words, legislation, executive and court powers depend on the President’s personal decisions.
In this case, only the Permanent Commission of the Milli Majlis is in accordance with the Constitution, because it consists of members selected during the recent legislative elections. But falling The President prevents the meeting of the Milli Majlis.
Getty Images through Aliu Balde / Xinhua
Increasing authoritarianism
Ecowas, in the beginning of the mandate, has maintained its current president. Today, he faces growing authoritarianism that caused friction, because this is the last visit of the regional organization’s mediation mission It was finished untimely.
West African intermediaries sent to Guinea-Bissau to find a solution to this political crisis Destroyed threats President Umaru Sissoco Packó. They made a press release prepared by the draft agreement on the election date. Not happy the presidential package.
The last one believes that the mandate of the President, which began in 2020, in September 4, 2025, the opposition and the Supreme Court ended in the post of 27 February 2025.
In 2019, the presidential election in the constitutional recovery? Won by the package? It took place, but the state of serious, economic and social instability, serious echo was given Human rights in the country.
In 2023 he gave legislation elections absolute majority The main party’s African party is a African party for independence of Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde (PAIGC). Leader, Domingos Simões PereiraHe undertakes the leader of the famous Milli Majlis, and the President of the Republic receives a commander to a government appointed by the winners.
Loss of external support
But Umaru Sisoko Embalolo lose gradually External support According to the internal political situation. In December 2023, a limited confrontation between the two wrestlers – National Guard and President Battalion, served as an excuse under the direct powers of the President The Milli Majlis has been resolved. The head of state then elects a Prime Minister, a Piigc MP and itself appoints the government.
The current President himself took the necessary measures to keep the government. Soon or later, he will organize the presidential election when the opposition admitted to be very weak to unite around a candidate like Domingos Simões Pereira. To do this, it will not hesitate to increase repressions of journalists, radios and other opposition votes, removing him from an ecowas that presses him in the constitution.
However, in this project, in this project, in this project, we do not need to think that the project is alone in this project because we continue to see politicians and businessmen and positions and positions and positions of the capital.
However, in my opinion, the soldiers continue to strengthen an authoritarian model as long as there are no elections, but its support has been reduced within the country.
The road in the country can be developed towards a liberal democracy that is subject to the organization of presidential and legislation, and resumes the activities of sovereignty institutions. On the contrary, the country can sink into a dictator mode characterized by an authoritarian presidential, opposition repression and illegal actions such as armed groups and drug trafficking.
Guinea-Bissau is located in a particularly sensitive West Africa with facing countries facing Armed conflicts of Islamist origin. Evolution (democracy or authoritarianism) cannot be considered by the international community in both possible trajectors, in Africa and the rest of the world. It is important to put pressure on the president so that a democratic transition is able to implement, and the provision of stability for the country.
