US shares may fall sharply over the next month, if the decline risks, the upper wall street bears a month of weakness in the world’s weakness of the world, Monday.
Morgan Stanley Michael Wilson, who has positive US shares last year, is likely to continue the largest weekly decrease in the Corrective area in six months and last until the middle of the year.
From this point, Wilson, a 6,500-point price target for Benchmark is a “volatile” way “volatile” continues to think about this growth risks before it worsen on Monday. The last year’s call is 12.7% higher than March 7, more than 5,770 March.
When the economy progresses towards the recession, Wilson warned shares that 20% can fall other than current levels in S & P 500.
“We are not there, but things can change quickly and therefore beneficial to know the downside of work to manage the risk of bear.”
Wilson’s colleagues in Morgan Stanley are not forecasted, but this year reduced the growth of 3-year GDP to 1.5% and 1.2% in 2026.
Tariff Risks to Grow Growth
“Our forecast, restrictive trade and immigration policy,” investment bank. ” “Our narrative in our narrative of the year ‘we think that slower growth, inflation,” then’ more slow growth, solid inflation ‘. ”
“Earlier and more extensive tariffs should become softer growth this year, while we have previously been to grow in 2026,” he said.
The American economist Aditya Bhave Bhave also argued that the federal reserve had a recent decline in the near future to prevent market markets that are likely to be unchanged for the longer.
Related: US works are cut into a high level of 16 years as a trade war
“Weak survey information, soft consumer expenses, large tariffs and the cuts of the doe were aggravated over the growth worldview in the last two weeks. However, the bottom of the inflation was increased,” he said
From this point of view, the Fed President Jerome Powell’s comments are mostly compatible. He was replaced by “uncertainty” inflationary pressure, which is connected to the economic event and tariff policies on Friday, remains “Hurry” to change the main policy speed of the Central Bank.
“Looking forward, the new management is in the process of implementing significant policy changes in four different areas: trade, immigration, financial policy and regulation,” said Powell. “This is the net effect of these policy changes according to the economy and money policy.”
“As we analyze the incoming information, when it is directed from the noise out of the signal, the Outlook develops” Powell “.
Economy ‘Well done place’ Fed chairman
The chairman of the Fed also soften the “continues to be in a good place” of the US economy and soften a solid labor market and inflationary pressure.
Last week, the Labor Department sent a weaker job report than expected 151,000 new hiring in February. However, the title figure was collected on January 125,000.
Atlanta Fed’s GDPnow Tracker increased by 2.4% in the current quarter, but important entrances in the coming weeks can raise this reading in a positive area and raise the recession in a few months.
In an interview with Fox News, President Donald Trump refused to protect the role of tariff role again to rule out the chances of recession and redistribution of the economy.
Related: Fed Chair Powell, echoes worrying about interest rate forecasts
“I hate predicting such things,” said Maria Bartiromo, “Trump Fox News, when asked when asked the economy’s recession risks.
“There is a transition period because we are very great. We bring rich in America.” “It’s a big thing and always has periods, it takes a little time. It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us.”
JP Morgan sees the relief rally, sold to gains
Taking this into account, the HSBC analysts have dropped a rating in US capital in a record published on Monday. Global Capital Strategy Alastair Pinder referred to “better opportunities for now” in trade and economic uncertainty.
The bank will also offer a 5.2% advantage for the first quarterly profit of the “Mini Profit Recognition” for the S & P 500, the S & P 500.
JP Morgan analysts, in the meantime, in the 1.9% loss of the S & P 500, S & P 500, and invites investors to accelerate economic risks.
More economic analysis:
- US consumers walk under the risks of renewed
- Work reports provide critical reviews in the economy, the markets of Roil
- Fed inflation device indicates large changes of the main economic drive
“After the worst weekly performance since September 2024, a rebound is more likely than descent than a rebound,” he said JP Morgan analysts. “But will you get or lean a relief rally?”
“The economy is slow down and the war remains unequivocally negative for both the market and the economy,” the investment bank added.
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